Fitch Affirms Costa Rica Rating;
Outlook Negative
Fitch Ratings, the international
rating agency, today affirmed
its long-term foreign and local
currency ratings of 'BB' and
'BB+', respectively, for Costa
Rica.
The Rating Outlook is Negative.
The Negative
Outlook and the ratings reflect
Fitch's concerns over Costa
Rica's persistently high fiscal
deficits and the high level of
dollarization of its banking
system, which in the context of
a crawling peg regime increases
the country's financial
vulnerability.
Since the Negative Outlook was
assigned last year, the
government has made efforts to
prevent a further deterioration
of its finances.
This, combined with higher GDP
growth last year has prevented
the government's debt from
increasing sharply.
These positive developments have
forestalled downward pressure on
the rating for now.
Even so, stabilization of the
sovereign rating would require
inter alia the passage of fiscal
reforms, as these are critical
to improving public finances and
sustaining a higher level of
growth. A tighter fiscal stance
would also lead to an eventual
reduction of other weaknesses in
the economy, such as large
current account deficits,
widespread dollarization, and
relatively high inflation.
Last year the Costa Rican
economy rebounded smartly,
driven by higher exports and
expansion in the
telecommunication sector.
Its economy grew at 6.5% in 2003
and is expected to grow at
nearly 4% this year. In 2003,
higher growth, combined with
greater revenues from the
contingency fiscal package (CFP)
helped to rein in the central
government fiscal deficit to
2.9% of GDP.
In 2004, the government is
exercising expenditure restraint
to maintain the central
government budget deficit at
last year's level. Even so, a
permanent reduction in the
fiscal deficit will require the
passage of a revenue-enhancing
tax reform. The prospects of
passing the comprehensive fiscal
reform, which the authorities
believe can raise over 2% of
GDP, remain unclear, as smaller
opposition parties are using
delaying tactics to prevent
Congress from voting on it.
Costa Rica also needs to
consolidate its fiscal accounts
to make room for contingent
liabilities that could arise
from the banking sector.
Although private participation
has increased in the sector,
public sector banks control over
50% of the system's assets and
enjoy a blanket state guarantee
on their deposits. Moreover,
high domestic interest rates, in
part driven by persistent fiscal
deficits, have led to the
widespread dollarization of the
banks' balance sheet. Of further
concern, a significant
proportion of the dollar loans
are being made to nondollar
earners, exposing banks to
significant credit risk.
Due to the low saving rate in
the economy, Costa Rica suffers
from the 'twin deficit' problem,
whereby high fiscal deficits get
readily reflected in the large
external account deficits.
Current account deficits have
averaged 5% of GDP over the past
five years. Fortunately, foreign
direct investment flows have
been robust, which have helped
in financing over 50% of the
current account deficit.
On the positive side, Costa
Rica's rating strengths include
its modest external debt burden,
a successful diversification of
its export base, and relatively
strong social indicators,
distinguishing it from other
countries in the region. Costa
Rica's vibrant democratic
institutions reduce political
transition risk, though the high
premium that the society places
on consensus building has
delayed the passage of reforms.
Stabilization in Costa Rica's
creditworthiness would depend
much on the ability of the
government to tackle its fiscal
deficits and pass a
revenue-enhancing tax reform.
Measures to strengthen the
banking system, including better
scrutiny of off-shore banks, as
well as reversal of
dollarization would be viewed
positively.
The implementation of Central
America Free Trade Agreement (CAFTA)
with the U.S. and passage of
laws to improve the regulatory
frameworks in the telecom and
insurance sectors would also
represent positive developments.
Increase in the Cost of Living
Propelled by the rising prices
of oil, the costs of groceries,
bus fares, utilities, education,
and housing - to mention a few -
have been steadily increasing in
recent months in Costa Rica.
The inflation in July reached
12.44% percent - the highest for
any given month in the last two
years -, confirms the spiraling
of prices.
Even though wages also
increased, they did not so in a
way to compensate for the upward
trend in the prices of basic
items.
Part of the response by those
who depend on a salary includes
doing without entertainment,
vacationing, or even getting a
second job.
On the other hand, while economy
authorities have alerted the
population about the harsh
conditions, they also point out
that there is little that can be
done in a country subject to the
ups and downs of the prices of
oil.
President Refutes Michael Moore
President Abel Pacheco stated
that Michael Moore's documentary
Fahrenheit 9/11 lies if it
claims that Costa Rica declared
war to Iraq.
According to President Pacheco,
what Costa Rica did was to
declare her solidarity with a
friend in its struggle against
terrorism and a dictator.
In the documentary, Moore lists
Costa Rica among the countries
that joined in the coalition
with the United States to invade
Iraq.
The documentary briefly shows
the image of a Costa Rican
farmer driving an ox-cart and
mentions that this country does
not have an army.
Jaguar Resorts, Inc. Targets
Costa Rica
Jaguar Resorts, Inc. announced
that it is aggressively working
on a new strategic alliance to
develop a five star luxury
resort in the Guanacaste region
of Costa Rica.
This is anticipated to be JGRT's
second project.
Jaguar Resorts is a developer of
luxury membership resort & spa
properties, primarily in Mexico
and Central America.
The Guanacaste region "Costa
Rica's HOT ZONE" is located in
the North Pacific and serviced
by the recently opened Liberia
airport. The Liberia Airport has
had an increase of over 800% in
direct commercial airline
traffic in 19 months.
Resort development in the region
is on the rise.
The First Phase of a three phase
Peninsula Papagayo project
opened on January 15th. The Four
Seasons Resort and Arnold Palmer
Signature golf course are open.
The projected initial investment
for the First Phase is just over
$110 million. The remaining two
phases will include two marinas,
two golf courses, and two
six-star hotels. The total
projected budget to develop this
property is expected to reach
$400 million.
Ben Gallagher, Vice President of
Jaguar Resorts states, "Costa
Rica's Northern Pacific zone is
experiencing tremendous growth,
as a result, property values are
increasing, and will continue to
do so, which is creating very
advantageous investment
opportunities for those that are
able to take advantage of them."
The mission of Jaguar Resorts is
to be the leading developer of
fractional interest in real
estate resort properties
throughout Latin America. The
company has excellent hotel and
spa relationships and a team in
place to fully realize the
company's strategic goals.
It is led by Clyde E. Culp III,
former CEO of Embassy Suites and
past President of Holiday Inns.
JGRT's first property is the 5
star, 122 acre, Alta Mira Resort
and Spa, and will be located in
San Miguel de Allende, Mexico.
Charges Unlikely for "Tico" Dad
of Dead Marine
They are highly trained,
field-tested Marines, and like
many in their number they have
an unenviable task: to tell
families that a loved one has
been killed. But nothing could
have prepared first Sgt. Timothy
Shipman and the two Marines in
his team for Carlos Arredondo's
reaction.
Arredondo is native Costa Rican,
immigrated to the U.S.
In his grief upon being told his
Marine son was dead, Arredondo
set their government vehicle
ablaze and seriously burned
himself.
Capt. Tony Rode, a Hollywood,
Florida, police spokesman,
said it was premature to discuss
possible charges against
Arredondo, but said it was
unlikely. "If you have any ounce
of sympathy or compassion, you'd
choose not to charge an
individual who receives such
horrific news about his son," he
said.
The Marines arrived at
Arredondo's door Wednesday
afternoon to tell him that his
20-year-old son, Lance Cpl.
Alexander Arredondo of Randolph,
Mass., had been killed in combat
in Iraq.
As they tried to console him,
the father walked into the
garage, picked up a propane
tank, a can of gasoline and a
propane torch. He smashed the
van's window, got inside and set
it ablaze, despite pleas from
the Marines to stop.
The Marines, reservists who are
members of a military Casualty
Assistance Calls team, pulled
Arredondo, 44, from the burning
vehicle and extinguished the
flames on him. None of the
Marines suffered injuries.
Wednesday was Arredondo's 44th
birthday.
Military officials could not
recall a similar incident from
bereaved relatives.
Arredondo, had been upgraded to
stable condition with burns over
26 percent of his body at
Jackson Memorial Hospital.
Arredondo's wife, Melida, told
Marine officials he was doing
"much better."
Neighbors said Carlos Arredondo
had been a friendly and helpful
neighbor since moving there six
months ago. They responded by
helping clean up debris from the
charred street and putting his
tools in the shed.
An American flag was draped over
a bush and a small shrine was
set out by the front door,
including a photo of the young
man in his uniform, a vase
holding pink and white
carnations and a small blue
placard that read: "Tell the
kids I love them. — God."
The Defense Department confirmed
Thursday that Arredondo died in
Najaf, Iraq. Arredondo, who
turned 20 this month, was
assigned to the Marine Corps
Base in Camp Pendleton, Calif.
Some family members said they
didn't agree with President
Bush's handling of the war.
"I blame it all on Bush. He's 20
years old, he should not be at
war because of someone else's
vendettas. The whole situation
is just a tragedy," said
Priscilla Foley, a cousin in
Boston.
U.S. forces in Najaf have been
battling for nearly five months
against Iraqi militiamen loyal
to radical Shiite cleric Muqtada
al-Sadr.
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