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Saturday 16 August 2008, San José, Costa Rica 

NICARAGUA
Fallen Leader's Aim: Topple Ortega
By Tim Rogers, Special to The Miami Herald

EL CRUCERO, Nicaragua -- Sitting comfortably at the head of a banquet table flanked by party loyalists, former President Arnoldo Alemán remarks on the rising cost of food as his right-hand man, a Supreme Electoral Council magistrate, serves him a generous scoop of scrambled eggs.

Outside the window, a light morning mist rolls across the lush and hilly grounds of Alemán's private hacienda, El Chile, which has doubled as his tropical prison and unofficial party headquarters since his house arrest began in 2003.

''Gallo pinto is expensive now,'' Alemán says, speaking of the rice-and-bean dish that's a staple of the Nicaraguan diet. "Nicaragua is in a crisis that is political, social and economic.''

The corpulent former president, affectionately known as el gordo, was suspected of looting government coffers of us$100 million and coming up with a complicated scheme to cover it up. But his 20-year prison sentence for fraud and money laundering was downgraded to a loosely defined house arrest, and so one of the most powerful politicians in Nicaragua -- behind bars or not -- is staging a political comeback of sorts.

He was briefly imprisoned and fell from grace, but Alemán never stopped being one of the nation's top power brokers. Prohibited from running for public office, he regularly holds court with Liberal Party magistrates, lawmakers and strategists who drive 12 miles from Managua for working breakfasts at his manicured ranch.

Those who surround him still call Alemán presidente and ''maximum leader,'' though he shrugs off those titles when asked about his role as party boss.

''Here, there is no maximum or minimum leader; here we're a team,'' Alemán told The Miami Herald in a rare interview this week.

FRACTURED ALLIANCE
Alemán and his team are trying to rebuild their political alliance in time to defeat the ruling Sandinista National Liberation Front (FSLN) in the upcoming municipal elections in November. After splitting up and then losing to Daniel Ortega in the 2006 presidential elections, the Liberals are now trying to repeat the example of the 1990 UNO alliance that coalesced 14 political movements onto the winning ticket that removed Ortega from office the first time around.

Alemán insists that only by reuniting all ''democratic forces'' under the banner of his Liberal Constitutional Party (PLC) can the Nicaraguan opposition again stop Ortega's ''totalitarian program'' in the 21st century.

''Everyone needs to support the true opposition, the PLC,'' Alemán said, adding that the same goes for the U.S. government and other foreign influences he blames for meddling and dividing the opposition vote in 2006.

''All these other countries should support and consolidate this democratic force,'' he said.

ONCE A U.S. ALLY
Backed by the U.S. government during his original bid against Ortega in 1996, Alemán was subsequently lumped into the same category of undesirable after his five-year presidency left a legacy of corruption and embezzlement. In 2004, he made the ''World's Ten Most Corrupt Leaders'' list put out by Transparency International, a global civil society organization headquartered in Berlin. The United States and Panama also froze his bank assets and opened judicial procedures against him in those countries.

Alemán, who has always insisted he is innocent, was partially vindicated earlier this month when the 11th U.S. Circuit Court of Appeals in Atlanta ruled that the U.S. government had improperly seized us$450,000 in certificates of deposit at a Coral Gables bank.

Now the party boss seeks political vindication as well -- something that can only happen with international support for the upcoming municipal elections, he said.

''Nicaragua needs the help -- without interference -- of international observers,'' Alemán said. The former president said he is concerned that Ortega and the Sandinista Front are preparing to steal the elections to remain in power.

''Unlike 1990, when they thought they were going to win and they invited everyone to come see, today they feel the opposite,'' Alemán said.

Under Nicaraguan law, the central government has to invite international observers to participate in the elections. But 90 days before the vote, the government allegedly has invited only one South American electoral observation firm, which the Liberals think is ideologically aligned with Ortega's brand of ``21st century socialism.''

OBSERVERS SHUT OUT?
The Organization of American States and other traditional electoral watchdogs have not been invited, and even local electoral observer Ethics and Transparency has not yet been able to accredit itself despite several attempts.

Ortega, in the past, has called the OAS' observation role ''humiliating'' and has criticized local electoral observation groups as financed by the United States. Alemán, however, feels the OAS and other international observers are crucial to ensuring fair play in what is expected to be a heated election.

In 1990, Alemán said, it was international observers who prevented the Sandinistas from playing any dirty tricks to stay in power during "the heat of defeat.''

''The eyes of the world were here and avoided that,'' Alemán said. "Today we feel that Nicaragua has been totally forgotten.''

Others, however, feel it is the war on corruption that has been forgotten in Nicaragua, resulting in a worsening situation for this fragile institutional democracy.

Former Attorney General Alberto Novoa, who spearheaded the corruption case against Alemán in 2002, shakes his head at the court arrangement that allows Alemán to move freely about the country in campaign mode -- a generous interpretation of house arrest extended only to the former president.

Novoa laments that anti-corruption efforts in Nicaragua have never been systematic, but instead have been politically motivated campaigns to put the squeeze on opponents of the government. Even today, Novoa said, Alemán's fate depends more on Ortega's political convenience than on justice, making his opposition role timid at best.

Still, Novoa said, the efforts to bring Alemán to justice were important at least in historical terms. ''History has already condemned him,'' Novoa told The Herald.

AIMING HIGH
For Alemán, however, history is still being written, and he believes a comeback is in the cards.

Of the 154 municipalities that will vote for mayor in November, the prize contest is for the capital city of Managua. In that political arena, Sandinista candidate and three-time former boxing champ Alexis Argüello, the former vice mayor, is challenging the PLC's Eduardo Montealegre, a former Alemán rival who was recently tapped by the party for the mayoral race after finishing second up in the 2006 presidential elections.

''I am sure Montealegre will win,'' Alemán said of his candidate, who until recently he referred to as "the rat.''

A win for Montealegre would also be a victory for Alemán, whose political buoyancy and eternal optimism seem unfazed by years of scandal and embarrassing electoral losses.

''We're like Johnnie Walker -- we keep walking,'' Alemán said with a toothy smile.
 


 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 


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