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Friday 28 September 2007

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Costa Rica Has No `Plan B' for U.S. Free Trade Deal
By Carlos Manuel Rodriguez and Bill Faries

(Bloomberg) - Costa Rican President Oscar Arias Sanchez said his country's us$21.5 billion economy will lose investment and jobs if voters don't back a free trade accord with the U.S. in a national referendum on Oct. 7.

The free trade agreement, part of a deal the U.S. negotiated with five Central American nations and the Dominican Republic, is a ``passport'' to future trade accords with the European Union and China, Arias said during an interview this week at the presidential palace in San Jose.

Arias, 67, has banked much of his political agenda on passage of the accord, known as CAFTA-DR, as polls show declining support for the agreement. A rejection of the treaty would endanger proposals to end monopolies in the telecommunications and insurance sectors and hobble plans to boost trade ties with the European Union and China, Arias said.

``There is no `Plan B,''' Arias said. ``Don't fool yourselves. Without a doubt, we'll grow less, we'll generate fewer jobs and we'll have less tax revenue without this treaty.''

Costa Rica exported us$3.2 billion worth of goods and services, including medical equipment and fruit, to the U.S. last year, representing 39 percent of total exports, Costa Rica's Ministry of Foreign Trade said on its Web site. The nation ran a trade deficit of about us$1.4 billion with the U.S. last year, the seventh straight year imports outpaced exports.

``Costa Rica needs this for its development,'' Arias, winner of the 1987 Nobel Peace Prize, said. ``Businessmen are telling me that if we don't have a free trade deal, they will invest in other countries in Central America.''

Costa Rica will discuss a possible free trade agreement and sale of up to us$350 million worth of bonds to China during a visit by Arias to the country next month.

A poll by Unimer Research International showed 49 percent of Costa Ricans favor the treaty while 46 percent oppose it, putting the two sides into a statistical tie, the San Jose-based newspaper La Nacion reported Sept. 24.

The telephone poll of 1,238 Costa Ricans Sept. 11-18 had a margin of error of 3.4 percentage points. Support is down nearly 7 percentage points from August, La Nacion reported.

``Arias has put a lot of political capital into this deal,'' said Joydeep Mukherji, director of sovereign ratings at Standard & Poor's in New York. ``He ran for office proposing ambitious reforms for health care, education, and social spending, but that requires more revenue and getting the economy to grow faster. Now everything is caught up in the CAFTA debate.''

To contact the reporters on this story: Carlos Manuel Rodriguez in New York at crodriguez17@bloomberg.net ; Bill Faries in Buenos Aires at wfaries@bloomberg.net .

 
 

 
 
 

 

 

 

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